Cash flow growth and stock returns

Cash Flow, Consumption Risk and Cross Section of Stock Returns

This paper directly links the risk premium on an asset to two characteristics of its underlying cash flow: cash flow covariance with aggregate consumption; and cash flow duration, which measures the temporal pattern of the cash flow. Their impact on the cross-sectional variation of risk premia can be largely captured by a two-factor cash flow model. While cash flow covariance is of firstorder i...

Accruals , cash flows , and aggregate stock returns $

This paper examines whether the firm-level accrual and cash flow effects extend to the aggregate stock market. In sharp contrast to previous firm-level findings, aggregate accruals is a strong positive time series predictor of aggregate stock returns, and cash flows is a negative predictor. In addition, innovations in accruals are negatively contemporaneously correlated with aggregate returns, ...

Habit Formation, the Cross Section of Stock Returns and the Cash-Flow Risk Puzzle∗

Non-linear external habit persistence models, which feature prominently in the recent “equity premium” asset pricing and macroeconomics literature, generate counterfactual predictions in the cross-section of stock returns. In particular, we show that in the absence of crosssectional heterogeneity in firms’ cash-flow risk, these models produce a “growth premium,” that is, stocks with high price-...

Supplementary Material to “Cash Flow, Consumption Risk, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns”

Sector Fund Performance: Analysis of Cash Flow Volatility and Returns

Sector funds are an important and growing segment of the mutual fund industry. This paper analyzes the performance of 609 actively managed stock sector funds listed on the CRSP Survivor-Bias Free US Mutual Fund Database during 1972-1999. We use a five-factor model to document the following results. First, sector funds as a group neither outperform nor underperform their benchmarks. Second, sect...